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The last decade of China’s economic reform has seen its residential real estate market re-enter the housing market. Urbanization, changes in real estate finance, and increasing modernization have led to greater market depth and diversity in the market. This trend highlights the importance of studying residential real estate to better understand policy directions that will impact future growth.
This paper examines the impact of China’s housing construction in the reform era. We focus our analysis on the Xixi District in Chengdu, and we study the impact of three housing programs including rent-to-own, housing loans, and home rental. We use a detailed inventory database, which covers 1.3 million housing units, to construct four housing models using the GMM and counting-house methods. We find that the policy interest rate is the key factor in affecting the welfare of the urban population, and that the equity incentives and land prices have a much smaller impact on the welfare of the urban population.
Our results show that rental housing is optimal to the renters, as we find that renting housing is good for the renters due to the lower interest rates. The investment in loans or home ownership does not seem to have the same effects on homeowners as the investment in renting housing does, as we find that rental housing is good for the homeowners.
As the most important sectional area, housing construction is essential for urban residents to have an income and an economic base, and the housing market also plays an important role in the urbanization process. Our study shows that policymakers have a great responsibility to nurture the housing market in order to ensure the welfare of urban residents and the city. Further studies on residential real estate and housing demand are needed.Q:
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